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Red34
50123.4
27118.1
219415.6
Blue18
835-0.6
16766.6
29216.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79180501001502002503003503418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#56
23.41.9
30.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
292
#18
16.90.3
16.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
#41
18.11.9
28.526.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1676
#77
6.60.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
15.62.3
13.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
835
#83
-0.60.3
0.40.0
Auto
Teleop
End