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Red2
633.2
50123.4
17107.1
Blue46
13118.6
162232.8
18115.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3568050100150200250246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#56
23.41.8
27.225.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1622
#30
32.80.9
38.237.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1710
#65
7.11.8
7.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
181
#24
15.20.9
18.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
63
#62
3.21.8
3.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
8.61.5
7.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End