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Red256
113814.3
188530.0
34019.0
Blue19
4910.3
210811.9
12303.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303005010015020025025619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#27
30.011.2
19.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
2108
#67
11.90.5
12.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
#48
19.011.2
8.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
49
#38
10.30.5
10.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#45
14.311.2
4.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1230
#61
3.70.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End