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Red64
110228.4
11116.2
204711.8
Blue15
19015.8
15258.2
50123.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675301002003004005006415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#11
28.40.1
35.435.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
501
#56
23.42.0
25.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
#15
16.20.1
17.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
190
#9
15.82.0
19.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2047
#17
11.80.1
11.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1525
#75
8.22.0
10.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End