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Red28
157427.4
110228.4
14857.0
Blue80
181616.1
112440.6
159232.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120950501502002503003504002880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#13
57.01.5
58.557.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
40.60.3
43.543.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1102
#11
28.41.5
29.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
32.70.3
35.635.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
27.41.5
28.927.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1816
#35
16.10.3
19.018.7
Auto
Teleop
End