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Red4
12628.8
15194.6
5490.5
Blue16
14749.8
10739.6
500-2.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411606080100120140160416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#15
28.80.8
30.129.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
9.80.1
10.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.60.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1073
#14
9.60.1
10.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
549
#35
0.50.8
1.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
500
#44
-2.90.1
-2.0-2.1
Auto
Teleop
End