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Red16
1312.4
15194.6
5626.2
Blue8
1517-2.6
5490.5
12628.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23450100150200250168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
562
#19
6.20.9
7.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.6
126
#15
28.82.9
30.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.60.9
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
549
#35
0.52.9
9.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
131
#34
2.40.9
6.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1517
#42
-2.62.9
3.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End