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Red38
1517.7
2382.1
14749.8
Blue8
11534.7
13352.3
1381.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16170406080388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.81.7
10.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1153
#13
4.70.6
9.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
#25
7.71.7
6.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1335
#41
2.30.6
3.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
238
#31
2.11.7
1.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
138
#45
1.40.6
2.82.2
Auto
Teleop
End