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Red18
1663.6
29628.6
15194.6
Blue8
1517.7
2412.1
1517-2.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531100150200250188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
#7
28.62.2
32.129.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
151
#25
7.70.1
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.62.2
7.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
241
#32
2.10.1
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
166
#16
3.62.3
5.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1517
#42
-2.60.1
-2.7-2.6
Auto
Teleop
End