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Red64
10584.2
12777.3
12628.8
Blue4
1289-1.4
1312.4
10739.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3911050100150644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#15
28.82.2
27.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
1073
#14
9.60.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1277
#21
7.32.2
4.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
131
#34
2.40.7
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
#26
4.22.2
3.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1289
#46
-1.40.8
-0.7-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End