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Red8
3412.2
149515.2
8342.8
Blue64
35914.4
83637.3
15470.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132020406080100120140864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1495
#26
15.22.0
20.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
836
#2
37.32.8
22.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
834
#57
2.82.0
2.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
359
#19
14.42.8
6.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
341
#51
2.22.0
8.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1547
#44
0.42.8
2.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End