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Red23
43.1
1101-1.5
188520.7
Blue4
190613.6
1087.0
172411.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26200406080100120140234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
15.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1906
#14
13.61.4
2.20.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4
#22
3.10.1
9.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1724
#19
11.01.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1101
#23
-1.50.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
108
#51
7.00.9
8.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End