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Red4
190613.6
4400.8
153816.5
Blue66
14927.5
20346.5
3928.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15320406080100120140466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#39
16.50.7
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
39
#8
28.01.8
28.430.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1906
#14
13.61.1
0.8-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1492
#26
7.51.8
3.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
#41
0.80.7
2.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
2034
#11
6.53.0
-1.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End