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Quarterfinal 2-32007 New York City Regional
Red8
180718.2
369-3.1
2717.4
Blue2
3955.6
12304.4
6370.1
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32802040608010012014016082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#4
18.20.4
19.8→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
395
#5
5.60.1
5.8→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
271
#25
7.40.5
9.9→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
1230
#7
4.40.2
4.6→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
369
#13
-3.10.5
-0.6→-1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
637
#33
0.10.2
0.3→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—