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Red4
16160.5
115521.2
3710.1
Blue32
2717.4
12304.4
18846.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2916050100150200432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#21
21.21.8
25.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
271
#25
7.41.2
9.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1616
#47
0.51.9
0.9-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
1884
#12
6.61.2
5.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
371
#50
0.11.9
0.4-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
4.41.2
2.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End