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Red0
115521.2
22855.5
333-3.5
Blue30
16981.5
6370.1
13667.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35-350100150200030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#21
21.21.7
23.621.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
1366
#30
7.02.4
4.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2285
#44
5.52.5
8.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1698
#29
1.52.2
-0.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
333
#43
-3.52.5
-1.3-3.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
637
#33
0.12.1
-2.3-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End