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Red38
488.1
201011.0
7726.5
Blue4
393-0.5
112626.0
22527.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19320406080100120384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#14
11.00.9
8.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
26.01.3
25.023.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
#25
8.10.9
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2252
#45
7.22.2
5.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
772
#8
6.50.9
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
393
#55
-0.51.5
-0.5-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End