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Red8
20312.4
103822.2
941.4
Blue76
6611.6
127019.4
18722.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332606080100120140160876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.2
23.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1270
#28
19.42.5
17.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2031
#46
2.42.0
6.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
66
#5
11.62.5
9.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
#23
1.42.0
2.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1872
#20
2.82.5
0.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End