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Red64
12138.3
22527.2
4518.9
Blue4
17870.7
19124.1
12742.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431020406080100120644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
#18
8.92.4
6.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
191
#15
24.11.2
21.920.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1213
#52
8.32.4
5.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1274
#53
2.11.9
4.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2252
#45
7.24.0
3.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1787
#34
0.72.0
2.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End