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Red28
1547-13.3
111476.5
29617.4
Blue16
84311.4
150325.5
1325-5.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117180501001502002503003502816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.53.9
84.380.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 51.0
1503
#18
25.50.7
24.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
#19
17.44.3
25.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
843
#29
11.40.8
8.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#46
-13.35.1
-4.2-9.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1325
#63
-5.81.2
-2.7-3.8
Auto
Teleop
End