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Red16
12462.8
1768.3
1558-3.7
Blue19
18143.6
11121.9
26912.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161601020304050601619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#27
8.30.0
12.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
269
#15
12.40.2
13.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1246
#53
2.80.0
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1814
#28
3.60.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1558
#49
-3.70.0
-0.3-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1112
#52
1.90.3
1.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End