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Red32
21663.6
8867.4
12815.0
Blue0
14040.5
21857.3
5197.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11230406080100320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
886
#21
7.41.6
5.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2185
#23
7.31.8
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1281
#25
5.01.6
3.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
519
#32
7.01.1
7.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2166
#34
3.61.0
4.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1404
#11
0.51.8
3.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End