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Red21
13235.5
18916.6
27230.3
Blue4
18996.0
36017.8
13462.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26750100150200214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#11
30.30.2
11.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
360
#36
17.80.5
6.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
#15
6.60.2
6.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1899
#39
6.00.5
0.0-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1323
#34
5.50.2
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1346
#44
2.20.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End