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Red2
36017.8
20711.7
142519.7
Blue8
135910.8
20467.9
27230.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153305010015020028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
19.71.3
9.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
272
#11
30.31.9
11.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
360
#36
17.81.3
7.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
10.81.9
13.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2071
#46
1.71.3
-0.1-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
7.91.9
6.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End