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Red4
21497.7
15103.5
1920.6
Blue16
1432-2.5
1144.3
214810.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1819010304050607080416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#37
7.71.3
11.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2148
#12
10.20.1
11.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
#43
3.51.3
6.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
114
#10
4.30.1
5.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
192
#48
0.61.3
1.3-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1432
#47
-2.50.1
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End