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Red30
18235.5
22499.7
12585.2
Blue2
18388.6
128016.2
22734.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions017406080100120140160302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2249
#35
9.76.7
9.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1280
#23
16.21.0
11.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1823
#17
5.52.3
0.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1838
#27
8.61.0
2.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1258
#24
5.22.3
1.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2273
#21
4.44.6
4.4-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End