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Red30
94815.9
154020.8
17788.4
Blue50
48812.5
131810.1
15956.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502401001502003050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.4
21.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
488
#6
12.50.6
11.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#1
15.90.4
16.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1318
#13
10.10.6
9.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
#26
8.40.4
8.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1595
#33
6.30.6
5.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End