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Qual 542007 Philadelphia Regional
Red2
42214.2
3042.2
1791-4.8
Blue32
11434.9
3578.8
4231.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915050100150200232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#42
14.20.4
15.6→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
357
#12
8.80.9
11.7→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
304
#40
2.20.6
2.3→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
1143
#5
4.90.9
3.4→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1791
#20
-4.80.6
-8.3→-8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.1
423
#9
1.31.5
-1.1→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—