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Red16
16476.8
4056.9
3042.2
Blue64
844.3
36531.9
7099.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11591001502002501664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
405
#24
6.90.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.1
365
#2
31.90.5
33.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.80.1
7.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
709
#15
9.00.5
16.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
#40
2.20.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
84
#7
4.30.5
4.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End