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Red128
34117.0
57117.3
20531.8
Blue22
22235.3
3578.8
5784.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216040608010012012822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#10
17.38.3
6.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
357
#12
8.80.3
11.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#31
17.05.8
5.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
2223
#37
5.34.1
5.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2053
#18
1.85.8
4.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
578
#28
4.00.4
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End