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Qual 812007 Philadelphia Regional
Red8
171220.7
3578.8
4334.2
Blue32
53915.0
11434.9
3042.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46180100150832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#4
20.72.1
24.0→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.7
539
#6
15.00.6
15.3→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
357
#12
8.81.7
11.5→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
1143
#5
4.90.6
4.2→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
433
#13
4.22.1
7.2→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
304
#40
2.20.7
1.5→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—