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Red8
3578.8
57117.3
16476.8
Blue24
18115.0
34117.0
844.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233020406080824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#10
17.30.4
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
341
#31
17.00.1
15.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
#12
8.80.4
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
181
#19
15.00.1
13.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.80.5
7.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
84
#7
4.30.1
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End