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Red4
487.9
103817.3
22212.4
Blue51
12313.9
2478.5
3377.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4127050100150451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.7
18.017.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
123
#2
13.90.4
13.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
#24
12.40.7
13.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
247
#16
8.50.5
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
#4
7.90.7
8.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
337
#29
7.60.5
7.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End