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Red0
6775.2
1284.4
20107.4
Blue53
3149.3
2478.5
22374.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79020304050053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#11
7.47.7
7.80.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
314
#7
9.33.7
3.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
677
#15
5.20.6
0.5-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
247
#16
8.53.7
4.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
128
#26
4.40.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2237
#22
4.012.8
17.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End