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Red2
3788.8
19904.9
1172.0
Blue16
103817.3
1840.5
22798.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8190406080100120216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#30
8.80.6
7.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
17.30.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1990
#31
4.90.6
0.1-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
8.80.1
6.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
117
#25
2.00.6
1.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
184
#27
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End