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Red36
22802.8
4915.8
103817.3
Blue38
3377.6
1172.0
162910.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617010203040503638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.6
9.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1629
#21
10.61.8
12.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49
#28
15.81.6
3.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
337
#29
7.61.8
3.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2280
#18
2.81.6
3.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
117
#25
2.01.8
1.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End