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Red8
162910.6
22212.4
3377.6
Blue32
29118.1
22802.8
6775.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730010204050607080832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#24
12.41.4
9.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
291
#8
18.10.3
20.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1629
#21
10.61.4
14.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
677
#15
5.20.3
5.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
337
#29
7.61.4
5.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2280
#18
2.80.3
3.03.3
Auto
Teleop
End