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Red8
22910.6
17281.8
112614.8
Blue4
1452.4
4672.8
193010.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37520608010012014084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.82.1
18.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1930
#33
10.70.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
#28
10.62.1
11.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
467
#14
2.80.4
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1728
#12
1.82.1
3.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
145
#17
2.40.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End