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Red2
22910.6
2228-2.6
14503.6
Blue94
19126.7
7727.2
150710.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1030020406080100120140160294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#28
10.60.9
10.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
191
#3
26.75.5
19.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1450
#21
3.60.9
0.9-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
10.75.5
4.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2228
#18
-2.60.9
1.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
772
#19
7.25.5
4.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End