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Red4
34011.1
17651.3
11430.5
Blue35
112614.8
17281.8
31621.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5240406080100435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#27
11.10.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
316
#2
21.81.1
4.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1765
#31
1.30.3
0.0-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
14.81.1
15.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1143
#35
0.50.3
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1728
#12
1.80.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End