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Red45
6924.4
13519.6
128016.5
Blue4
16786.0
135915.4
76613.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27390206080100120454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#16
16.50.3
15.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1359
#19
15.40.6
15.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.60.3
9.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
766
#14
13.90.6
14.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
#38
4.40.3
3.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1678
#10
6.00.8
6.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End