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Red48
21892.2
85216.5
10039.7
Blue6
11477.6
6703.3
20353.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3711050100150486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#1
39.71.0
19.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
1147
#30
7.60.7
2.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
#5
16.51.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
2035
#34
3.60.6
6.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2189
#18
2.21.2
2.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
670
#37
3.30.7
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End