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Red64
16621.2
99726.4
10039.7
Blue0
11421.6
20855.8
128016.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54420100150640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#1
39.70.7
27.928.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
114
#9
21.62.2
18.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
#2
26.40.6
23.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1280
#16
16.52.2
17.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1662
#12
1.21.0
0.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2085
#13
5.83.6
7.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End