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Red30
6757.1
206319.2
11477.6
Blue4
20730.3
128016.5
6924.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21520406080304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.216.3
19.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1280
#16
16.50.5
11.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1147
#30
7.62.2
2.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
692
#38
4.40.8
2.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
675
#8
7.12.2
0.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2073
#28
0.30.3
0.3-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End