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Red20
6703.3
13519.6
2204-1.2
Blue8
6924.4
21892.2
11477.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12240406080100120140160208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.60.3
9.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1147
#30
7.61.2
13.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
670
#37
3.30.4
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
692
#38
4.40.7
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2204
#32
-1.20.6
-0.8-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2189
#18
2.21.2
3.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End