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Red50
19607.1
13238.6
70127.4
Blue4
135915.4
8410.4
20353.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452206080100120140160504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#3
27.40.4
28.729.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
1359
#19
15.41.0
17.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
#29
8.60.4
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2035
#34
3.61.0
7.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.10.6
5.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
841
#26
0.41.6
-0.3-1.9
Auto
Teleop
End