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Red32
20353.6
70127.4
85216.5
Blue2
13519.6
128016.5
6924.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58280100150200250322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#3
27.40.4
29.729.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
1280
#16
16.50.5
17.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
#5
16.50.4
18.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
9.60.5
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2035
#34
3.60.4
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
692
#38
4.40.5
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End