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Red36
8047.3
162632.1
837-0.7
Blue8
80113.6
13903.2
175811.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49130100150200368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.5
39.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
801
#22
13.60.6
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
804
#9
7.30.7
2.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1758
#21
11.30.8
3.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
837
#36
-0.70.7
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1390
#32
3.20.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End