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Red32
33710.6
10266.8
15396.2
Blue0
152212.4
9006.7
28111.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19110406080100320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#11
10.60.9
7.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1522
#28
12.40.8
1.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1026
#35
6.81.2
4.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
281
#33
11.41.0
4.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1539
#17
6.21.2
5.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
900
#44
6.70.9
6.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End