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Red58
174625.3
13903.2
8047.3
Blue8
139815.9
53812.9
131915.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326020406080100588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#10
25.33.7
9.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1398
#29
15.91.4
5.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
804
#9
7.33.7
1.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
15.30.8
5.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1390
#32
3.22.4
3.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
538
#8
12.91.4
13.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End